September 16, 2010

2010 ACC Offensive Talent Analysis

2009 ACC Offensive Talent Analysis

This piece digs a little deeper into the talent level on each Atlantic Coast Conference team by focusing on the offensive side on the ball. The raw data comes from Rival.com prospect ratings and is calculated as followed.

5.7 = 1.00 point
5.8 = 1.25 points
5.9 = 1.50 points
6.0 = 1.75 points
6.1 = 2.00 points

Players under 5.7 were not calculated into the raw data as a way to limit complexity.

The 2006, 2007, 2008 classes are weighted at 100% while the 2009 class is weighted at 75% and 2010 is weighted at 25% due to a lot of players redshirting. Important to note is that this data only includes current players on the roster, so attrition is factored into the equation in this data, but not factored in here.

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Miami has a decent edge is overall offensive talent and then their is a 2nd Tier that includes Clemson, Virginia Tech, Florida State and North Carolina that have pretty similar talent levels and then a 3rd Tier that includes North Carolina State, Virginia and Maryland that again have pretty similar raw talent.

Georgia Tech runs a variation of the Wing-T offense under Paul Johnson and recruits players that do not fit the mold of your traditional offensive recruit that recruiting analyst rank, so their ranking is pretty much irrelevant.

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Quarterback talent is the most difficult to quantify statistically because unlike the OL and Backs & Receivers to suceed at QB a team only needs one player to step-up and it doesn't really matter if the player is a 5-Star prospect like Tyrod Taylor or a 4-Star player like Jacory Harris and Kyle Parker a 3-Star player like Christian Ponder or even a 2-Star player like Russell Wilson. Definitely take the QB data with a huge grain of salt.

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Offensive line play is the most important factor in making an offense success in my opinion, but is also the most hard to scout, which puts a lot of weight on the offensive line coach to scout and develop the talent that they recruit.

Clemson, Virginia Tech and Miami have the most talent on paper in the ACC.

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- Miami has the most talent at the skill positions (RB, WR, TE) lead by a star-studded wide receivers Travis Benjamen, Aldrius Johnson and Leonard Hankerson.

- UNC is second with another talented wide receiving group lead by the currently suspended Greg Little and Jheranie Boyd.

- Clemson is third with the tandem on Andre Ellington and Jamie Harper in the backfield.

Potential biases in the data are noted in this blog and would also apply to this piece.

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